How it finished
AJ Auxerre beat Nice 1–0. Bawler's model had AJ Auxerre in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. AJ Auxerre had 11 shots (7 on target) to Nice's 12 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
AJ Auxerre beat Nice 1–0. Bawler's model had AJ Auxerre in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. AJ Auxerre had 11 shots (7 on target) to Nice's 12 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.9.
What was the final score in AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
AJ Auxerre 1–0 Nice, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AJ Auxerre 44%, the draw 27% and Nice 29%.
What were the stats in AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.9, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–8, Saves 4–4, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
No. It finished 1–0, so Nice failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AJ Auxerre vs Nice right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AJ Auxerre or draw 71%, it finished AJ Auxerre won (44% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.