Paraguay at World Cup 2026

Knocked out at Round of 16 — how their tournament played out

FIFA rank

#52

Official ranking

Knocked out

Round of 16

How far they got

Bawler's full forecast for Paraguay at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group D alongside USA, Australia, and Turkey. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Paraguay's path to the trophy

Probability Paraguay reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

62.0%

Round of 16

100.0%

Quarter-finals

0.00%

Semi-finals

0.00%

Final

0.00%

Win it all

0.00%

Group D

Group D forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
USA	#16	82.4%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Paraguay	#52	62.0%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Australia	#26	55.6%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Turkey	#43	0.02%	0.32%	0.11%	0.03%	0.00%

Fixtures

Paraguay's World Cup fixtures

5 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

13 Jun, 02:00FT
United States v Paraguay4–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals80%

20 Jun, 04:00FT
Türkiye v Paraguay0–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals69%

26 Jun, 03:00FT
Paraguay v Australia0–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals74%

29 Jun, 21:30FT
Germany v Paraguay1–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals71%

04 Jul, 22:00FT
Paraguay v France0–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals71%