Türkiye vs Paraguay
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals projects at 69% because both sides combine for 2.42 expected goals, with Paraguay's creator Almirón and striker Sanabria driving an xG threat (1.35) that edges Türkiye's (1.06) on the road.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Türkiye vs Paraguay — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Türkiye and Paraguay — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Türkiye 26% · draw 34% · Paraguay 40%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.