World Cup 2026 · Group D

Turkey at World Cup 2026

Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA rank

#43

Official ranking

Win the group

0.02%

Top two finish

Reach the last 16

0.32%

Round of 16

Win the cup

0.00%

Lift the trophy

Bawler's full forecast for Turkey at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group D alongside USA, Paraguay, and Australia. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

See today's free predictions →

Tournament path

Turkey's path to the trophy

Probability Turkey reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

0.02%

Round of 16

0.32%

Quarter-finals

0.11%

Semi-finals

0.03%

Final

0.01%

Win it all

0.00%

Group D

Group D forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
USA	#16	82.4%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Paraguay	#52	62.0%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Australia	#26	55.6%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Turkey	#43	0.02%	0.32%	0.11%	0.03%	0.00%

Fixtures

Turkey's World Cup fixtures

No fixtures for this team were captured in calibration data.

The tournament is over and no fixtures for this team were captured in our data. See today's free predictions at bawler.ai/today.