USA at World Cup 2026

Knocked out at Round of 16 — how their tournament played out

FIFA rank

#16

Official ranking

Knocked out

Round of 16

How far they got

Bawler's full forecast for USA at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group D alongside Paraguay, Australia, and Turkey. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

See today's free predictions →

Tournament path

USA's path to the trophy

Probability USA reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

82.4%

Round of 16

100.0%

Quarter-finals

0.00%

Semi-finals

0.00%

Final

0.00%

Win it all

0.00%

Group D

Group D forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
USA	#16	82.4%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Paraguay	#52	62.0%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Australia	#26	55.6%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Turkey	#43	0.02%	0.32%	0.11%	0.03%	0.00%

Fixtures

USA's World Cup fixtures

No fixtures for this team were captured in calibration data.

The tournament is over and no fixtures for this team were captured in our data. See today's free predictions at bawler.ai/today.