World Cup 2026 · Group G
Out · Quarter-finals
Out · Quarter-finalsBelgium at World Cup 2026
Knocked out at Quarter-finals — how their tournament played out
FIFA rank
#8
Official ranking
Knocked out
Quarter-finals
How far they got
Bawler's full forecast for Belgium at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group G alongside Egypt, Iran, and New Zealand. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Belgium's path to the trophy
Probability Belgium reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
91.8%
Round of 16
100.0%
Quarter-finals
100.0%
Semi-finals
0.00%
Final
0.00%
Win it all
0.00%
Group G
Group G forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | #8 | 91.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Egypt | #29 | 66.5% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Iran | #20 | 41.7% | 74.4% | 56.8% | 33.5% | 3.58% |
 New Zealand | #64 | 0.04% | 0.38% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
Belgium's World Cup fixtures
6 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.
15 Jun, 20:00FT
Belgium v Egypt1–1
High confidence: 1X75%
21 Jun, 20:00FT
Belgium v Iran0–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals75%
27 Jun, 04:00FT
New Zealand v Belgium1–5
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals80%
01 Jul, 21:00FT
Belgium v Senegal2–2
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals74%
07 Jul, 01:00FT
United States v Belgium1–4
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals81%
10 Jul, 20:00FT
Spain v Belgium2–1
High confidence: 1X80%