World Cup 2026 · Group G
New Zealand at World Cup 2026
Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments
FIFA rank
#64
Official ranking
Win the group
0.04%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
0.38%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.00%
Lift the trophy
Tournament path
New Zealand's path to the trophy
Probability New Zealand reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
0.04%
Round of 16
0.38%
Quarter-finals
0.16%
Semi-finals
0.03%
Final
0.00%
Win it all
0.00%
Group G
Group G forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Belgium | #8 | 91.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Egypt | #29 | 66.5% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Iran | #20 | 41.7% | 74.4% | 56.8% | 33.5% | 3.58% |
| New Zealand | #64 | 0.04% | 0.38% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
New Zealand's World Cup fixtures
3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.