World Cup 2026 · Group G
Out · Round of 16
Out · Round of 16Egypt at World Cup 2026
Knocked out at Round of 16 — how their tournament played out
FIFA rank
#29
Official ranking
Knocked out
Round of 16
How far they got
Bawler's full forecast for Egypt at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group G alongside Belgium, Iran, and New Zealand. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Egypt's path to the trophy
Probability Egypt reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
66.5%
Round of 16
100.0%
Quarter-finals
0.00%
Semi-finals
0.00%
Final
0.00%
Win it all
0.00%
Group G
Group G forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Belgium | #8 | 91.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Egypt | #29 | 66.5% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Iran | #20 | 41.7% | 74.4% | 56.8% | 33.5% | 3.58% |
 New Zealand | #64 | 0.04% | 0.38% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
Egypt's World Cup fixtures
5 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.
15 Jun, 20:00FT
Belgium v Egypt1–1
High confidence: 1X75%
22 Jun, 02:00FT
New Zealand v Egypt1–3
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals74%
27 Jun, 04:00FT
Egypt v Iran1–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals76%
03 Jul, 19:00FT
Australia v Egypt1–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals76%
07 Jul, 17:00FT
Argentina v Egypt3–2
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals64%