Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Stoke prediction: for Stoke's next match — Stoke vs Swansea on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Stoke win looks most likely (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.
Stoke sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.20 expected goals a game and conceding 1.27. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.83 goals a game against 1.20 expected. Next up is Swansea City, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.
Home vs Swansea · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Stoke compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Stoke fixture, it is right 6 out of 6 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Stoke fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Stoke matches.