Bawler / Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic / Recap
FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Stoke City 2–0 Oldham AthleticMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Stoke City
2–0
Stoke City win
Oldham Athletic
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it

Pre-match, Bawler had Stoke City at 40%, draw at 28%, Oldham Athletic at 32%. The match ended 2-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Stoke City.

> Pre-match probability vs result
City win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Athletic win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Stoke City or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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