How it finished
Swansea City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 22%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 6 shots (2 on target) to Swansea City's 7 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.6, so Stoke City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Swansea City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 22%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 6 shots (2 on target) to Swansea City's 7 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.6, so Stoke City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Stoke City 1–2 Swansea City, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 44%, the draw 34% and Swansea City 22%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.6, Shots 6–7, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 1–1, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Yes — both Stoke City and Swansea City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Swansea City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Stoke City 44%, it finished Swansea City (22% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.