England: ChampionshipFriday 28 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Wrexham vBirmingham City

Most likely scoreline
1–0
14% of the time · 2.38 goals expected
Wrexham 49%Draw 32%Birmingham City 19%
How we get there
WrexhamstepBirmingham City
1.51Base xG · rolling 26-match0.87
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.51Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.87

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Wrexham average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Birmingham average 4.7 corners per game away from home this season (27 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
8
3
1
1
14
12
5
2
2
11
9
4
1
3
5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Wrexham fixtures & form →Birmingham City fixtures & form →

Wrexham vs Birmingham — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Wrexham and Birmingham — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Wrexham 49% · draw 32% · Birmingham 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Wrexham predictions & form →Birmingham predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.