How it finished
Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 9 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham City's 10 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 69%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 9 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham City's 10 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham City, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wrexham 38%, the draw 28% and Birmingham City 34%.
What were the stats in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.9, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 3–6, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Yes — both Wrexham and Birmingham City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wrexham vs Birmingham City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Wrexham 38%, it finished Birmingham City (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.