FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Friday, 07 August 2026
Middlesbrough 1–0 WrexhamMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Friday, 07 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Middlesbrough at 57%, draw at 29%, Wrexham at 14%. The match ended 1-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Middlesbrough.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Middlesbrough win
57%
Actual ✓
Draw
29%
Wrexham win
14%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Home Win
Pre-match: 69%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 55%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 23%
✗ Lost