Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion prediction — Championship · Sun 20 Sept · 12:00 UK

Championship · Sun 20 Sept · 12:00 UK
Wolverhampton Wanderers 52Draw 27West Bromwich Albion 21
The call
79%
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw
2.5
Goals expected
14d 02hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Wolverhampton Wanderers to score79%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
West Bromwich Albion to score60%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

West Bromwich Albion
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Daryl Dike
FW · 2.0 shots expected
87%
50%
16%
Isaac Price
MF · 1.7 shots expected
81%
44%
11%
Michael Johnston
MF · 1.6 shots expected
80%
33%
6%
Aune Selland Heggebø
FW · 1.5 shots expected
77%
45%
12%
Karlan Grant
MF · 1.5 shots expected
77%
38%
8%
Josh Maja
FW · 1.4 shots expected
76%
45%
12%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D W W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5WOL 1 · D 1 · WES 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jan 2024West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
May 2021West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jan 2021Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–3 West Bromwich Albion
Feb 2012Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–5 West Bromwich Albion
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Common questions

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?

Bawler's model rates this match: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favoured (52% win probability vs 21% for West Bromwich Albion, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 West Bromwich Albion (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 52%, the draw 27% and West Bromwich Albion 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?

BTTS: No (52% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.58 and away expected goals 0.92.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Wolverhampton Wanderers form →West Bromwich Albion form →