FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 10 October 2026

West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Birmingham CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026

West Bromwich Albion
0–1
Birmingham City win
Birmingham City

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was West Bromwich Albion or draw at 67%. Bawler had West Bromwich Albion at 38%, the draw at 28% and Birmingham City at 33%. The match finished 0–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

West Bromwich Albion win
38%
Draw
28%
Birmingham City win
33%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.2
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 2.5
From the match itself

The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 72%
Missed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 52%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 25%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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