FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Wrexham 1–2 West Bromwich AlbionMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Wrexham or draw at 69%. Bawler had Wrexham at 41%, the draw at 28% and West Bromwich Albion at 31%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Wrexham win
41%
Draw
28%
West Bromwich Albion win
31%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.2
Total 2.5
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.5 of our 2.5.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 51%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.