How it finished
Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Willem II had 12 shots (5 on target) to Heerenveen's 13 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Willem II had 12 shots (5 on target) to Heerenveen's 13 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Willem II 25%, the draw 23% and Heerenveen 53%.
What were the stats in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.4, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 5–3, Corners 9–7, Saves 3–2, Fouls 9–5, Offsides 2–2.
Did both teams score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Yes — both Willem II and Heerenveen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Heerenveen 53%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Away Win 53%, it finished Missed.