West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley prediction — Championship · Sun 23 Aug · 12:00 UK

Championship · Sun 23 Aug · 12:00 UK
West Bromwich Albion 37Draw 28Burnley 34
The call
72%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

West Bromwich Albion beat Burnley 3–1. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. West Bromwich Albion had 11 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

West Bromwich…Full-time statsBurnley
51%Possession49%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.2
11Shots11
7Shots on target3
9Shots inside box6
2Big chances1
3Corners5
3Saves4
8Fouls13
8Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultWest Bromwich Albion 37%West Bromwich Albion (37% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 72%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals75%
West Bromwich Albion to score73%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Burnley to score71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5WES 0 · D 4 · BUR 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2025Burnley 1–1 West Bromwich Albion
Nov 2024West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Burnley
Jan 2023Burnley 2–1 West Bromwich Albion
Sept 2022West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Burnley
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?

West Bromwich Albion beat Burnley 3–1. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. West Bromwich Albion had 11 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

What was the final score in West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?

West Bromwich Albion 3–1 Burnley, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Bromwich Albion 37%, the draw 28% and Burnley 34%.

What were the stats in West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 8–0, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?

Yes — both West Bromwich Albion and Burnley scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said West Bromwich Albion 37%, it finished West Bromwich Albion (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →West Bromwich Albion form →Burnley form →