FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026
Burnley 2–1 Notts CountyMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Burnley at 40%, draw at 28%, Notts County at 32%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Burnley.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Burnley win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
County win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Burnley or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost