Birmingham City beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. West Bromwich Albion had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 15 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Birmingham City beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. West Bromwich Albion had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 15 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.5.
West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Birmingham City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Bromwich Albion 38%, the draw 28% and Birmingham City 33%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.5, Shots 14–15, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–9, Saves 6–2, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 0–1, so West Bromwich Albion failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.