West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK
38West Bromwich Albion win28Draw33Birmingham City win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Birmingham City beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. West Bromwich Albion had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 15 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.5.

West Bromwich…Full-time statsBirmingham…
54%Possession46%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.5
14Shots15
2Shots on target7
9Shots inside box13
2Big chances3
7Corners9
6Saves2
8Fouls12
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if West Bromwich Albion win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (14%)
Expected goals
1.3v1.2
2.5 in total
Both teams score
52%
Leans yes
3+ goals
46%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBirmingham City
1.3Goals1.2
14.2Shots10.9
4.0On target5.0
4.5Corners6.0
West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBirmingham City
0.6Goals0.5
6.6Shots4.8
1.9On target2.2
2.1Corners2.8
West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBirmingham City
0.7Goals0.7
7.6Shots6.1
2.1On target2.8
2.4Corners3.2

What we said the chances were

3 goals or fewer75%
West Bromwich Albion to score73%
2 or more goals72%
Birmingham City to score70%
Goal before half-time66%

First half — what we expected

West Bromwich Albion
46%
to score before half-time
Birmingham City
38%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBirmingham City
59%6+ shots35%
35%8+ shots16%
81%1+ shots on target85%
30%3+ shots on target37%
58%2+ corners72%
19%4+ corners32%

League position

Birmingham City in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Birmingham City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion
Nov 2025West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Birmingham City
Aug 2024Birmingham City 4–1 West Bromwich Albion
Feb 2024West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City
Oct 2023Birmingham City 3–1 West Bromwich Albion
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →West Bromwich Albion form →Birmingham City form →

Common questions

Who won West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?

Birmingham City beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. West Bromwich Albion had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 15 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.5.

What was the final score in West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?

West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Birmingham City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Bromwich Albion 38%, the draw 28% and Birmingham City 33%.

What were the stats in West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.5, Shots 14–15, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–9, Saves 6–2, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?

No. It finished 0–1, so West Bromwich Albion failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.