Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.
Watford 1–1 West Ham United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 21%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 54%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–11, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both Watford and West Ham United scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said West Ham United 54%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said X2 79%, it finished Landed.