Watford vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Watford 21Draw 25West Ham United 54
The call
79%
West Ham United or draw
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

WatfordFull-time statsWest Ham…
38%Possession62%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
15Shots13
4Shots on target1
13Shots inside box6
0Big chances0
3Corners11
1Saves3
9Fouls7
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultWest Ham United 54%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model callX2 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
West Ham United to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Watford to score64%

First half — what we expected

WatfordBefore half-timeWest Ham United
42%Chance to score49%
8.3Expected shots4.6
2.3Expected shots on target1.5
2.3Expected corners1.7
70%Chance of 7+ shots20%
45%Chance of 9+ shots6%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
41%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
88%Chance of 1+ corners79%
40%Chance of 3+ corners25%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5WAT 0 · D 0 · WES 5
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2022West Ham United 1–0 Watford
Dec 2021Watford 1–4 West Ham United
Jul 2020West Ham United 3–1 Watford
Aug 2019Watford 1–3 West Ham United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Watford vs West Ham United?

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Watford vs West Ham United?

Watford 1–1 West Ham United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 21%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 54%.

What were the stats in Watford vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–11, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Watford vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Watford and West Ham United scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Watford vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said West Ham United 54%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said X2 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Watford form →West Ham United form →