How it finished
Watford beat Preston North End 2–1. Bawler's model had Watford in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Watford had 15 shots (5 on target) to Preston North End's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.4, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Watford vs Preston North End?
Watford beat Preston North End 2–1. Bawler's model had Watford in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Watford had 15 shots (5 on target) to Preston North End's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.4, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Watford vs Preston North End?
Watford 2–1 Preston North End, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 48%, the draw 26% and Preston North End 26%.
What were the stats in Watford vs Preston North End?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.4, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 3–3, Corners 2–4, Saves 5–3, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Watford vs Preston North End?
Yes — both Watford and Preston North End scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Watford vs Preston North End right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Watford or draw 74%, it finished Watford won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.