Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Vitória de GuimaraesstepC.D. NacionalVitória de Guimaraes average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). C.D. Nacional average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
More predictions for these teams
Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 16 May 2026, Vitória de Guimaraes have won 0, C.D. Nacional have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | C.D. Nacional 2–0 Vitória de Guimaraes | Portugal: Primeira Liga |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Vitória de Guimaraes 11% · draw 33% · C.D. Nacional 55%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.