FT · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal · Friday, 14 August 2026
Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória de GuimaraesMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Friday, 14 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Sporting CP at 61%, draw at 25%, Vitória de Guimaraes at 14%. The match ended 3-2 — confirming the model's lean toward Sporting CP.
> Pre-match probability vs result
CP win
61%
Actual ✓
Draw
25%
Guimaraes win
14%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 85%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
BTTS No
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 27%
✓ Won