What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?
Bawler's model rates this match: VfB Stuttgart are favoured (54% win probability vs 24% for FC Cologne, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is VfB Stuttgart 1-1 FC Cologne (10.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.30.
How does Bawler predict VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives VfB Stuttgart 54%, the draw 23% and FC Cologne 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?
BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.02 and away expected goals 1.29.
Over or under 2.5 goals in VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.30. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).