FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
FC Cologne 1–1 Werder BremenMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Cologne win
56%
Draw
24%
Result
Werder Bremen win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.1
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.