How it finished
Austin FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 7%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Vancouver Whitecaps had 20 shots (6 on target) to Austin FC's 4 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 2.7 to 0.8, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 85%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?
Austin FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 7%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Vancouver Whitecaps had 20 shots (6 on target) to Austin FC's 4 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 2.7 to 0.8, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?
Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 Austin FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 78%, the draw 14% and Austin FC 7%.
What were the stats in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.8, Shots 20–4, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 18–3, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–0, Saves 0–5, Fouls 16–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?
Yes — both Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 78%, it finished Austin FC won (7% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.