Match prediction·BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League·Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Union St.-Gilloise vs Zulte-Waregem

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
50.5% home29.2% draw20.3% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Union St.-GilloisestepZulte-Waregem
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Union St.-Gilloise average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 3.5 goals
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Union St.-Gilloise fixtures & form →Zulte-Waregem fixtures & form →

Union St.-Gilloise vs Zulte-Waregem — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Union St.-Gilloise and Zulte-Waregem — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Union St.-Gilloise 51% · draw 29% · Zulte-Waregem 20%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Union St.-Gilloise predictions & form →Zulte-Waregem predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.