FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Zulte-Waregem 4–0 Waasland-BeverenMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 22 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Zulte-Waregem at 51%, draw at 26%, Waasland-Beveren at 24%. The match ended 4-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Zulte-Waregem.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Zulte-Waregem win
51%
Actual ✓
Draw
26%
Waasland-Beveren win
24%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
1.67 – 1.07
Total 2.73
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.3 vs xG)
Match overperformed xG by 1.3 goals. Above-expectation scoring — could be finishing, set-piece luck, or genuine attacking quality the model under-rated.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 76%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
✗ Lost