Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 16 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 5 (1), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 16 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 5 (1), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.
Union St.-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 55%, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad 23%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.6, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 0–4, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.