Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
55Union St.-Gilloise win22Draw23Real Sociedad win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 16 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 5 (1), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.

Union…Full-time statsReal Sociedad
44%Possession56%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.6
16Shots5
5Shots on target1
10Shots inside box3
1Big chances1
4Corners2
0Saves4
15Fouls13
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Union St.-Gilloise win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
2.1v1.3
3.3 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseReal SociedadReal Sociedad
2.1Goals1.3
21.4Shots9.2
9.3On target4.2
6.5Corners5.9
Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseReal SociedadReal Sociedad
0.9Goals0.7
9.7Shots4.2
4.2On target1.9
3.1Corners2.8
Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseReal SociedadReal Sociedad
1.2Goals0.6
11.6Shots5.0
5.1On target2.3
3.5Corners3.1

What we said the chances were

Union St.-Gilloise to score87%
2 or more goals85%
Goal before half-time79%
Real Sociedad to score72%

First half — what we expected

Union St.-Gilloise
60%
to score before half-time
Real Sociedad
48%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseReal SociedadReal Sociedad
59%9+ shots<10%
39%11+ shots<10%
75%3+ shots on target30%
40%5+ shots on target<10%
76%2+ corners71%
36%4+ corners30%

League position

Real Sociedad in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Union St.-Gilloise form →Real Sociedad form →

Common questions

Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 16 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 5 (1), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St.-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 55%, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad 23%.

What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.6, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 0–4, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Yes — both Union St.-Gilloise and Real Sociedad scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.