Bawler / World: World Cup / Paraguay
Team profile · World: World Cup

Paraguay Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
8 settled
Goals for
1.10
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.41
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
38%
3/8 calls

Paraguay prediction: Bawler's model rates Paraguay at 1.10 expected goals scored and 1.41 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 38% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Paraguay fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Paraguay sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.10 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Paraguay have been correct 38% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 3L
Real goals
1.1 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Paraguay compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.10
Below average
Goals against
1.41
Leakier than most
Scored1.10
Conceded1.41

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.10 xG per match · -0.23 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Paraguay matches give the model a harder read here — 2/6 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Paraguay in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 0.0✈️ 1.0
1.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.0
🏠 1.0
7.0
Shots · per game
faced 12.0
🏠 7.0
2.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
🏠 2.0
🗓️ Last 5 games
04 Jul
0-1
vs France
🚩 -
29 Jun
1-1
@ Germany
🚩 -
26 Jun
0-0
vs Australia
🚩 1-3
20 Jun
1-0
@ Türkiye
🚩 -
13 Jun
1-4
@ United States
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Paraguay matches
38%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Paraguay fixture, it is right 3 out of 8 (38%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Paraguay by market
Goals (Over/Under)33%2/6
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Paraguay fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Paraguay matches.

Recent matches (last 8)

Paraguay prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly