Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 18:00 UK
Trabzonspor 31Draw 25Galatasaray 44
The call
69%
Galatasaray or draw
3.2
Goals expected
14d 06hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals83%
Galatasaray to score82%
Trabzonspor to score76%
Over 2.5 goals61%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Trabzonspor
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Ernest Muçi
MF · 3.1 shots expected
95%
65%
28%
Paul Onuachu
FW · 3.0 shots expected
95%
75%
41%
Oleksandr Zubkov
MF · 2.6 shots expected
93%
46%
12%
Felipe Augusto
FW · 2.6 shots expected
92%
67%
31%
Mehmet Umut Nayir
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
57%
21%
Benjamin Bouchouari
MF · 1.2 shots expected
71%
35%
7%
Galatasaray
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Victor Osimhen
FW · 5.0 shots expected
99%
85%
57%
Mauro Icardi
FW · 4.0 shots expected
98%
80%
47%
Baris Alper Yilmaz
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
58%
21%
Leroy Sané
MF · 2.1 shots expected
88%
46%
13%
Yunus Akgün
MF · 2.1 shots expected
87%
42%
10%
Gabriel Sara
MF · 1.8 shots expected
83%
46%
13%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L W L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5TRA 1 · D 1 · GAL 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Trabzonspor 2–1 Galatasaray
Jan 2026Galatasaray 4–1 Trabzonspor
Nov 2025Galatasaray 0–0 Trabzonspor
May 2025Trabzonspor 0–3 Galatasaray
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Common questions

Who will win Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Bawler's model rates this match: Galatasaray are favoured (44% win probability vs 31% for Trabzonspor, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Trabzonspor 1-1 Galatasaray (11.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.17.

How does Bawler predict Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Trabzonspor 31%, the draw 25% and Galatasaray 44%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.44 and away expected goals 1.74.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.17. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Trabzonspor form →Galatasaray form →