FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Genclerbirligi 0–1 GalatasarayMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Galatasaray to win at 63%. Bawler had Genclerbirligi at 17%, the draw at 21% and Galatasaray at 63%. The match finished 0–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Genclerbirligi win
17%
Draw
21%
Galatasaray win
63%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.2
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Galatasaray to win
Pre-match: 63%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.