FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Samsunspor 0–3 TrabzonsporMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Samsunspor or draw at 67%. Bawler had Samsunspor at 41%, the draw at 26% and Trabzonspor at 33%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Samsunspor win
41%
Draw
26%
Trabzonspor win
33%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.