Swansea City vs Norwich City prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK
42Swansea City win26Draw31Norwich City win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.

Swansea CityFull-time statsNorwich City
57%Possession43%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.6
12Shots11
8Shots on target5
7Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
3Corners2
4Saves5
10Fouls8
2Offsides6
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Swansea City win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.3
2.9 in total
Both teams score
58%
Leans yes
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Swansea CitySwansea CityNorwich CityNorwich City
1.6Goals1.3
15.7Shots10.9
5.7On target5.2
4.3Corners4.1
Swansea CitySwansea CityNorwich CityNorwich City
0.6Goals0.6
7.1Shots5.0
2.5On target2.4
2.0Corners1.9
Swansea CitySwansea CityNorwich CityNorwich City
0.9Goals0.7
8.6Shots5.9
3.3On target2.8
2.3Corners2.2

What we said the chances were

Swansea City to score79%
2 or more goals78%
Norwich City to score73%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer68%

First half — what we expected

Swansea City
47%
to score before half-time
Norwich City
45%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Swansea CitySwansea CityNorwich CityNorwich City
65%6+ shots39%
41%8+ shots18%
88%1+ shots on target88%
43%3+ shots on target42%
82%1+ corners80%
33%3+ corners30%

League position

Norwich City in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Norwich City 1–1 Swansea City
Oct 2025Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City
Jan 2025Norwich City 5–1 Swansea City
Sept 2024Swansea City 1–0 Norwich City
Apr 2024Norwich City 2–2 Swansea City
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Swansea City form →Norwich City form →

Common questions

Who won Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 42%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 31%.

What were the stats in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.6, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–6, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Yes — both Swansea City and Norwich City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.