Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.
Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 42%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 31%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.6, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–6, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Swansea City and Norwich City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.