Brighton & Hove Albion beat Sunderland 2–0. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 13 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Sunderland 2–0. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 13 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
Sunderland 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 32%, the draw 26% and Brighton & Hove Albion 42%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 1–5, Corners 7–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so Sunderland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.