FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion 4–0 Kauno ZalgirisMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Brighton & Hove Albion to win at 94%. Bawler had Brighton & Hove Albion at 94%, the draw at 5% and Kauno Zalgiris at 1%. The match finished 4–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Brighton & Hove Albion win
94%
Result
Draw
5%
Kauno Zalgiris win
1%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
3.9 – 0.4
Total 4.3
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.0 – 0.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 4.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Pre-match: 94%
Landed
Outside shot
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 32%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.