Middlesbrough beat Stoke City 3–2. Stoke City had 8 shots (1 on target) to Middlesbrough's 20 (9), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Middlesbrough beat Stoke City 3–2. Stoke City had 8 shots (1 on target) to Middlesbrough's 20 (9), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.6.
Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 23%, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 51%.
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.6, Shots 8–20, Shots on target 1–9, Shots inside box 5–16, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 7–0, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Stoke City and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.