How it finished
Hull City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 18 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Hull City?
Hull City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 18 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Stoke City 1–2 Hull City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 39%, the draw 27% and Hull City 34%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 1–4, Saves 5–3, Fouls 12–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Yes — both Stoke City and Hull City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Hull City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Stoke City 39%, it finished Hull City (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.