Standard Liege vs Antwerp prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK
Standard Liege 39Draw 26Antwerp 34
Our call before kickoff
66%
Standard Liege or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Standard Liege beat Antwerp 1–0. Bawler's model had Standard Liege in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 20 shots (8 on target) to Antwerp's 14 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.8.

Standard…Full-time statsAntwerp
56%Possession44%
3.4Expected goals (xG)0.8
20Shots14
8Shots on target4
19Shots inside box11
6Big chances2
13Corners4
3Saves6
7Fouls18
3Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callStandard Liege or draw 66%Standard Liege won (39% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Standard LiegeAntwerp
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.4
17.5
Shots+0.7
18.2
6.5
On target+3.2
9.6
4.9
Corners+3.0
7.9
Standard LiegeAntwerp
0.5
Goals
0.5
7.7
Shots
7.7
2.7
On target+1.6
4.3
2.3
Corners+1.4
3.7
Standard LiegeAntwerp
1.0
Goals+0.1
0.9
9.8
Shots+0.7
10.5
3.8
On target+1.6
5.3
2.6
Corners+1.6
4.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Standard Liege to score77%
Antwerp to score75%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Standard Liege
46%
to score before half-time
Antwerp
46%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Standard LiegeAntwerp
7.71st-half shots7.7
2.71st-half shots on target4.3
2.31st-half corners3.7

First-half chances

60%Chance of 7+ shots60%
38%Chance of 9+ shots37%
48%Chance of 3+ shots on target76%
16%Chance of 5+ shots on target42%
39%Chance of 3+ corners67%
12%Chance of 5+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Standard Liege7.79.8
Shots · Antwerp7.710.5
Shots on target · Standard Liege2.73.8
Shots on target · Antwerp4.35.3
Corners · Standard Liege2.32.6
Corners · Antwerp3.74.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Antwerp in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

Standard Liege beat Antwerp 1–0. Bawler's model had Standard Liege in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 20 shots (8 on target) to Antwerp's 14 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

Standard Liege 1–0 Antwerp, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Standard Liege 39%, the draw 26% and Antwerp 34%.

What were the stats in Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.4–0.8, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 19–11, Big chances 6–2, Corners 13–4, Saves 3–6, Fouls 7–18, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

No. It finished 1–0, so Antwerp failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Standard Liege vs Antwerp right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Standard Liege or draw 66%, it finished Standard Liege won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Standard Liege form →Antwerp form →