Standard Liege beat Antwerp 1–0. Bawler's model had Standard Liege in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 20 shots (8 on target) to Antwerp's 14 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Standard Liege beat Antwerp 1–0. Bawler's model had Standard Liege in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 20 shots (8 on target) to Antwerp's 14 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.8.
Standard Liege 1–0 Antwerp, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Standard Liege 39%, the draw 26% and Antwerp 34%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.4–0.8, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 19–11, Big chances 6–2, Corners 13–4, Saves 3–6, Fouls 7–18, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so Antwerp failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Standard Liege or draw 66%, it finished Standard Liege won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.