FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Antwerp 4–4 Racing GenkMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Racing Genk or draw at 68%. Bawler had Antwerp at 32%, the draw at 27% and Racing Genk at 41%. The match finished 4–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Antwerp win
32%
Draw
27%
Result
Racing Genk win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.5
Total 2.8
Actual
4 – 4
Total 8 (+5.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 5.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.