FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Standard Liege 0–1 Royal Charleroi SCMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Royal Charleroi SC or draw at 68%. Bawler had Standard Liege at 32%, the draw at 25% and Royal Charleroi SC at 42%. The match finished 0–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Standard Liege win
32%
Draw
25%
Royal Charleroi SC win
42%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.