What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Bawler's model rates this match: St. Louis CITY SC are favoured (47% win probability vs 27% for Minnesota United FC, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is St. Louis CITY SC 1-1 Minnesota United FC (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.93.
How does Bawler predict St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives St. Louis CITY SC 47%, the draw 25% and Minnesota United FC 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?
BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.69 and away expected goals 1.24.
Over or under 2.5 goals in St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.93. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).