USA: MLSSunday 30 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Sporting Kansas City vVancouver Whitecaps

Most likely scoreline
0–1
10% of the time · 2.94 goals expected
Sporting Kansas City 16%Draw 27%Vancouver Whitecaps 57%
How we get there
Sporting Kansas CitystepVancouver Whitecaps
0.98Base xG · rolling 26-match1.96
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
0.98Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.96

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Sporting Kansas City average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Vancouver Whitecaps average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (29 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
10
10
7
3
1
1
5
10
10
7
3
1
2
3
5
5
3
2
1
3
1
2
2
1
1
4
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Sporting Kansas City fixtures & form →Vancouver Whitecaps fixtures & form →

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 18 April 2026, Sporting Kansas City have won 0, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
18 April 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas CityUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Sporting Kansas City 16% · draw 27% · Vancouver Whitecaps 57%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Sporting Kansas City predictions & form →Vancouver Whitecaps predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.