Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK
Sporting Kansas City 11Draw 17Vancouver Whitecaps 72
The call
72%
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3

How it finished

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.

Sporting…Full-time statsVancouver…
44%Possession56%
0.4Expected goals (xG)2.6
8Shots16
0Shots on target6
5Shots inside box14
0Big chances4
1Corners4
3Saves0
15Fouls20
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultVancouver Whitecaps 72%Vancouver Whitecaps (72% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score56%No
Model callAway Win 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Vancouver Whitecaps to score92%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Sporting Kansas City to score60%

First half — what we expected

Sporting Kansas CityBefore half-timeVancouver Whitecaps
28%Chance to score68%
3.1Expected shots8.3
1.0Expected shots on target3.7
1.1Expected corners3.8
5%Chance of 7+ shots69%
1%Chance of 9+ shots44%
7%Chance of 3+ shots on target65%
0%Chance of 5+ shots on target32%
12%Chance of 3+ corners70%
1%Chance of 5+ corners33%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SPO 0 · D 0 · VAN 5
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City
Sept 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Jul 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City
Jul 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 11%, the draw 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps 72%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.6, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 0–6, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 0–4, Corners 1–4, Saves 3–0, Fouls 15–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

No. It finished 0–3, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Vancouver Whitecaps 72%, it finished Vancouver Whitecaps (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Away Win 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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