Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis CITY SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 23%, the draw 24% and St. Louis CITY SC 53%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 3–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said St. Louis CITY SC 53%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Away Win 53%, it finished Missed.