Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Sporting Kansas CitystepSt. Louis CITY SCSporting Kansas City average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). St. Louis City average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
More predictions for these teams
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 17 July 2026, Sporting Kansas City have won 0, St. Louis CITY have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17 July 2026 | St. Louis CITY 3–2 Sporting Kansas City | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Sporting Kansas City 28% · draw 26% · St. Louis CITY 46%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.