Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 01:00 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 01:00 UK
Sporting Kansas City 23Draw 24St. Louis CITY SC 53
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.

Sporting…Full-time statsSt. Louis…
48%Possession52%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.5
18Shots7
3Shots on target2
11Shots inside box2
3Big chances1
9Corners2
1Saves2
12Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSt. Louis CITY SC 53%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second callAway Win 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
St. Louis CITY SC to score84%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Sporting Kansas City to score69%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SPO 1 · D 2 · STS 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jul 2026St. Louis City 3–2 Sporting Kansas City
May 2025St. Louis City 2–2 Sporting Kansas City
Apr 2025Sporting Kansas City 2–0 St. Louis City
Sept 2024St. Louis City 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis CITY SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 23%, the draw 24% and St. Louis CITY SC 53%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 3–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said St. Louis CITY SC 53%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Away Win 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Sporting Kansas City form →St. Louis CITY SC form →