Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction — Liga Portugal · Fri 14 Aug · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Fri 14 Aug · 20:15 UK
Sporting CP 61Draw 25Vitória de Guimaraes 14
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Sporting CP beat Vitória de Guimaraes 3–2. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Sporting CP had 5 shots (3 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 12 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.

Sporting CPFull-time statsVitória de…
56%Possession44%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.1
5Shots12
3Shots on target3
3Shots inside box11
2Big chances3
5Corners1
1Saves0
12Fouls21
2Offsides0
4Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSporting CP 61%Sporting CP (61% called)
Total goals2.95
Both teams to score51%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed
Second callBTTS No 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Sporting CP to score87%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.2 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Sporting CP beat Vitória de Guimaraes 3–2. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Sporting CP had 5 shots (3 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 12 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 14 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting CP 61%, the draw 25% and Vitória de Guimaraes 14%.

What were the stats in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.1, Shots 5–12, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 3–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–1, Saves 1–0, Fouls 12–21, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 4–4.

Did both teams score in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Yes — both Sporting CP and Vitória de Guimaraes scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sporting CP 61%, it finished Sporting CP (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS No 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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