Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK
Sporting CP 71Draw 19Alverca 10
The call
90%
Sporting CP or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Sporting CP beat Alverca 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting CP had 15 shots (7 on target) to Alverca's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.4.

Sporting CPFull-time statsAlverca
59%Possession41%
2.1Expected goals (xG)0.4
15Shots10
7Shots on target3
8Shots inside box6
3Big chances1
3Corners4
2Saves5
13Fouls17
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSporting CP 71%Sporting CP (71% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score45%Yes
Model call1X 90%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Sporting CP to score89%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SPO 3 · D 0 · ALV 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Mar 2026Alverca 1–4 Sporting CP
Oct 2025Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca
Oct 2025Sporting CP 5–1 Alverca
Oct 2019Alverca 2–0 Sporting CP
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting CP vs Alverca?

Sporting CP beat Alverca 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting CP had 15 shots (7 on target) to Alverca's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Sporting CP vs Alverca?

Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting CP 71%, the draw 19% and Alverca 10%.

What were the stats in Sporting CP vs Alverca?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.4, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Sporting CP vs Alverca?

Yes — both Sporting CP and Alverca scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting CP vs Alverca right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sporting CP 71%, it finished Sporting CP (71% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 90%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Sporting CP form →Alverca form →