How it finished
Southampton beat Swansea City 3–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Southampton had 15 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 10 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Swansea City?
Southampton beat Swansea City 3–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Southampton had 15 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 10 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Southampton vs Swansea City?
Southampton 3–1 Swansea City, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 55%, the draw 24% and Swansea City 21%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs Swansea City?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.1, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 15–4, Big chances 3–1, Corners 9–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs Swansea City?
Yes — both Southampton and Swansea City scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs Swansea City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton or draw 79%, it finished Southampton won (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.