FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Slovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB StuttgartMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was VfB Stuttgart or draw at 79%. Bawler had Slovan Bratislava at 21%, the draw at 22% and VfB Stuttgart at 57%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Slovan Bratislava win
21%
Draw
22%
VfB Stuttgart win
57%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 2.1
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 22%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.