Real Betis on top, with Troy Parrott our likeliest to test the keeper.
Our model makes Real Betis clear favourites for this Champions League game, with a 71% chance of winning. Slovan Bratislava are given 11%, and the draw 18%. Our predicted score is Slovan Bratislava 0–2 Real Betis (11%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. We expect 3.3 goals in total: 0.9 for Slovan Bratislava and 2.4 for Real Betis. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 65%.
On shots, our forecast is 12.9 for Slovan Bratislava and 17.5 for Real Betis, with 4.7 and 4.0 on target, and corners at 5.3 to 4.9. So we expect Real Betis to do more of the shooting. Of the players, Antony of Real Betis tops our shots forecast at 3.3, if they start. Andraz Sporar (Slovan Bratislava) leads for shots on target, at 1.4. For cards, Facundo Bernal (Real Betis) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
Slovan Bratislava come in with two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six. Real Betis have three wins, one draw and two defeats over the same run. Bawler's pick combines Real Betis or Draw, Real Betis Over 13.5 Shots and Troy Parrott 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 51%, a fair price of Evens (1.96).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Real Betis to win is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: Real Betis are favoured (71% win probability vs 11% for Slovan Bratislava, 18% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Slovan Bratislava 0-2 Real Betis: the most likely score if Real Betis win, which is the likeliest result (71%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.5%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Slovan Bratislava 11%, the draw 18% and Real Betis 71%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Slovan Bratislava expecting 0.89 goals and Real Betis 2.45.
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Real Betis or Draw (89%), Real Betis Over 13.5 Shots (77%), Troy Parrott 1+ Shot on Target (66%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 51% chance, a fair price of Evens (1.96). 18+, please gamble responsibly.